Data, valuations, and politics: decoding the Swiss real estate market

Michael Rogenmoser

In this episode, Romain Dequesne welcomes Michael Rogenmoser, CEO of IAZI/CIFI, to discuss how data-driven valuations shape the Swiss property market and what recent trends reveal about prices, demand, and risks.

Valuing property through data

Most mortgages in Switzerland are now valued using hedonic models — algorithms that estimate price based on property features and recent comparable transactions. IAZI updates its models quarterly, based on data provided by banks, making valuations faster, cheaper, and highly consistent across the market.

Investment property is back

After a slowdown linked to higher rates, the institutional market has rebounded. Lower financing costs in 2024 brought investors back to residential rental assets, while office space still faces pressure from hybrid work and higher vacancy rates.

Demand up, supply stuck

Switzerland continues to welcome around 80,000 new residents each year, while new construction faces heavy regulation and long approval times. This imbalance keeps prices resilient despite tighter financing conditions.

The political factor

Future risks are increasingly political:

  • New proposals for rent control and public preemption rights in several cantons.
  • Pressure to limit immigration, which could reduce both demand and labor supply.
    Combined with global uncertainties and potential interest rate swings, these forces could reshape the market.

Buying a home today

For private buyers, the message is simple: if you can afford it, buy for use, not speculation. Land remains scarce, and demand for well-located housing stays strong — even as buyers move further from city centers in search of affordability.

In short

  • Swiss property valuations are now data-driven and updated quarterly.
  • Institutional investors are returning to residential assets; offices remain fragile.
  • Limited supply and steady immigration keep prices firm.
  • Political shifts could become the main market risk.
  • For homeowners, affordability and long-term use matter more than timing.

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This content is provided for information and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute a recommendation, invitation or offer to enter into a contract or to buy or sell real estate. All information, including facts, opinions or quotations, may be condensed or summarized and is expressed as of the date of writing. The information does not take into account the financial or tax situation and/or needs of any specific recipient. In the event of any discrepancy of interpretation between the French, German, English and/or Italian versions, only the French text shall prevail.